ANALISIS PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH DAN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DALAM PERSPEKTIF EKONOMI ISLAM TAHUN 2014-2024

Revan, Lesta Mahendra (2026) ANALISIS PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH DAN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DALAM PERSPEKTIF EKONOMI ISLAM TAHUN 2014-2024. Diploma thesis, UIN Raden Intan Lampung.

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Abstract

ABSTRAK Pertumbuhan ekonomi merupakan indikator penting dalam menilai keberhasilan pembangunan suatu negara. Selama periode 2014–2024, pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia mengalami fluktuasi yang dipengaruhi oleh berbagai faktor, termasuk nilai tukar USD/IDR dan Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). Penelitian terdahulu mengenai pengaruh kedua variabel tersebut masih menunjukkan hasil yang beragam. Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pengaruh nilai tukar USD/IDR dan Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia, baik secara parsial maupun simultan, serta mengkajinya dalam perspektif ekonomi Islam. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan data sekunder time series periode 2014–2024 yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) dan Bank Indonesia. Analisis dilakukan menggunakan regresi linier berganda dengan bantuan perangkat lunak EViews 10 melalui uji asumsi klasik, uji t, uji F, dan koefisien determinasi. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa nilai tukar USD/IDR berpengaruh negatif namun tidak signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi, sedangkan Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) berpengaruh positif namun tidak signifikan. Secara simultan, kedua variabel juga tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Nilai Adjusted R squared sebesar 9,19% menunjukkan bahwa sebagian besar variasi pertumbuhan ekonomi dipengaruhi oleh faktor lain di luar model. Dalam perspektif ekonomi Islam, stabilitas nilai tukar dan investasi tetap penting untuk mewujudkan kemaslahatan dan pembangunan ekonomi yang berkelanjutan. Kata Kunci: Nilai Tukar USD/IDR, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Ekonomi Islam. ABSTRACT Economic growth is an important indicator of a country's development performance. During the 2014–2024 period, Indonesia's economic growth experienced fluctuations influenced by various factors, including the USD/IDR exchange rate and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). Previous studies have reported inconsistent findings regarding the effects of these variables. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the partial and simultaneous effects of the USD/IDR exchange rate and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on Indonesia's economic growth and to examine the findings from an Islamic economic perspective. This study employed a quantitative approach using secondary time-series data covering the period from 2014 to 2024. The data were obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and Bank Indonesia. Multiple linear regression analysis was conducted using EViews 10. The analysis included classical assumption tests, t-test, F-test, and the coefficient of determination (Adjusted R²). The results indicate that the USD/IDR exchange rate has a negative but insignificant effect on Indonesia's economic growth, while Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has a positive but insignificant effect. Simultaneously, both variables also have no significant effect on economic growth. The Adjusted R² value of 9.19% indicates that most variations in economic growth are explained by other factors outside the research model. From the perspective of Islamic economics, exchange rate stability and investment remain essential in promoting public welfare (maslahah) and sustainable economic development. Keywords: USD/IDR Exchange Rate, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Economic Growth, Islamic Economics.

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