PENGARUH TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA, MONEY SUPPLY DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP PERKEMBANGAN INDUSTRI MANUFAKTUR DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2011-2022 DALAM PERSPEKTIF EKONOMI ISLAM

Dea, Meilinda Sari (2024) PENGARUH TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA, MONEY SUPPLY DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP PERKEMBANGAN INDUSTRI MANUFAKTUR DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2011-2022 DALAM PERSPEKTIF EKONOMI ISLAM. Diploma thesis, UIN Raden Intan Lampung.

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Abstract

ABSTRAK Industri manufaktur menjadi salah satu sektor prioritas Negara Indonesia karena kontribusinya dalam mempercepat pertumbuhan ekonomi nasional melalui kinerjanya. Kontribusi sektor industri manufaktur terhadap perekonomian Indonesia dapat diukur dengan menganalisa output industri yang dapat dilihat menggunakan indeks ekonomi seperti produk domestik bruto. Berdasarkan data Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia kontribusi sektor industri manufaktur mengalami perlambatan, dalam mengatasi permasalahan tersebut pemerintah Indonesia melakukan kebijakan moneter untuk mengatur perekonomian. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh tingkat suku bunga, money supply dan nilai tukar terhadap perkembangan industri manufaktur di Indonesia tahun 2011-2022 dalam perspektif ekonomi islam. Penelitian ini menggunakan jenis penelitian kuantitatif dengan menggunakan software Eviews 10. Metode analisis penelitian ini menggunakan model Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Data yang digunakan berupa tingkat suku bunga, money supply, nilai tukar, dan PDB industri manufaktur di Indonesia pada tahun 2011-2022. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa variabel tingkat suku bunga, money supply dan nilai tukar berpengaruh secara simultan terhadap perkembangan industri manufaktur. Sedangkan secara parsial, variabel tingkat suku bunga dalam jangka pendek berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap perkembangan industri manufaktur. Variabel money supply dalam jangka pendek dan jangka panjang berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap perkembangan industri manufaktur. Variabel nilai tukar dalam jangka pendek berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap perkembangan industri manufaktur. Kata kunci: Industri Manufaktur, Money Supply, Nilai Tukar, Tingkat Suku Bunga. ABSTRACT The manufacturing industry is one of the priority sectors of the State of Indonesia because of its contribution in accelerating national economic growth through its performance. The contribution of the manufacturing industry sector to the Indonesian economy can be measured by analyzing industrial output which can be seen using economic indices such as gross domestic product. Based on data from the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics, the contribution of the manufacturing industry sector has slowed down, in overcoming these problems the Indonesian government conducts monetary policy to regulate the economy. This study aims to determine the effect of interest rates, money supply and exchange rates on the development of the manufacturing industry in Indonesia in 2011-2022 in the perspective of Islamic economics. This research uses a type of quantitative research using Eviews 10 software. This research analysis method uses a vector error correction model (VECM). The data used are interest rates, money supply, exchange rates, and GDP of the manufacturing industry in Indonesia in 2011-2022. The results of this study indicate that the variables of interest rates, money supply and exchange rates simultaneously affect the development of the manufacturing industry. Partially, the interest rate variable in the short term has a positive and significant effect on the development of the manufacturing industry. The money supply variable in the short and long term has a negative and significant effect on the development of the manufacturing industry. The exchange rate variable in the short term has a negative and significant effect on the development of the manufacturing industry. Keywords: Exchange Rate, Interest Rate, Manufacturing Industry, Money Supply.

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